New Loot wagon %

[Eddie65476]

Hi,

Are the percentage chances between ingot/shard/upgrade item fixed? More specifically, if I don’t have an item in my inventory am I less likely to get a shard?

I’ve read about the loot wagon exploit to get more valuable upgrades. This post is not about that.

 

[Val]

seems like they are fixed. Smth like
3% for ingots
7% for upgrade
88% for shard
1% for 2 shards
1% for 3 shards.
If all upgrades are applied you'll just get a volunteer random upgrade

 

[Eddie65476]

Thank you.

 

[Dario]

I think that % for shards are lower. What is more, looks like it change depends on how far from next star is your regiment. When it is far away, shards are very often, when it is close to star, chance to get shards from loot wagon is falling down.

 

[Eddie65476]

@Kerozard is this accurate?

 

[BlackAdder666]

Seems about right, in my experience. Maybe 85% for 1 shard and 10% for upgrade...

 

[evilt0m]

It's 76% for 1 shard, 4% for 2-3 shards, 15% needed Upgrade and 5% Ingots.

 

[Saerwynn]

For 2 days I've been trying to get just 7 shards from loot wagon to promote my unit, only got 3 so for. 76% for 1 shard !? No way.

 

[Zarthas]

Just bad luck. On more than 350 LW we have :

78% 1 shard
14% needed upgrade
5% ingots
2% 2 shards
1% 3 shards

So, that's the same of staff answer...

 

[BlackAdder666]

On average these numbers are correct. But when you are close to promoting a reg, shard drops go down.

 

[Zoni]

On average these numbers are correct. But when you are close to promoting a reg, shard drops go down.

That’s my experience too.

 

[Zarthas]

That’s my experience too.

I don't have this problem. I don't think that's in the game code. Just bad luck...^^

 

[kill]

I think Blackadder666 is right! I consider it a test of patience within me.

 

[BlackAdder666]

Trust me, it must be in the code. Even more obvious previously, when shards were much, much harder to get....

 

[AzorAhai]

On average these numbers are correct. But when you are close to promoting a reg, shard drops go down.

Yes, when I was close to 5 stars for TK, I had on one day 5 upgrades (14% probability) in a row instead of shards. Some days before and after also a few times 3 upgrades in row.

 

[Zarthas]

Yes, when I was close to 5 stars for TK, I had on one day 5 upgrades (14% probability) in a row instead of shards. Some days before and after also a few times 3 upgrades in row.

And? Not necessary in the code but just a little serial. My longest serial was 6 upgrades but for a 5* regiment so, that's better. And for shards, 17 in a row. BUT, with all datas on over 380 LW, that's always the same. Near to 5* or not...

 

[Pablo]

Yes, when I was close to 5 stars for TK, I had on one day 5 upgrades (14% probability) in a row instead of shards. Some days before and after also a few times 3 upgrades in row.

I suppose it's just bad luck, I'm currently upgrading TPB, I have 65/100 shards and I found Ingots/Upgrade 8 of 10 times in last few days. Unlucky. On there other hand I'm quite sure I've looted 3 shards just before my previous regiment could get upgraded star. RNG is a bitch sometimes

 

[Saerwynn]

Trust me, it must be in the code. Even more obvious previously, when shards were much, much harder to get....

I'm afraid you must be right. Once again I have a unit which is almost ready to be promoted and once again I don't get the needed shards.
Why does Inno have to cheat us on this.

It's 76% for 1 shard, 4% for 2-3 shards, 15% needed Upgrade and 5% Ingots.

And what is the % when you need less then 10 shards ? Because it is definitely not anywhere near 76% !

 

[Zarthas]

Bad luck or i'm a very lucky man.

129/150 and 22 shards in 3 days by LW. Just 2 with no shards. More than 85% shards!